Dwight

Version 1.1

Published 30 SEP 2026

Dwight 1.1: Meet Dwight

A debut that leads the field on home runs, RBI, and pitcher losses.

Dwight launches as a credible projection from the get-go. It is especially strong on team-affected stats like RBI and pitching W and L.

Two areas lag behind the leaders, BABIP and stolen bases, which will be a focus for upcoming releases.

Batting

Home run and RBI projections both lead the field—home runs narrowly ahead of Steamer, RBI clearly ahead of every system. On overall batter value (wOBA), Dwight already beats The BAT and The BAT X.

System HR RBI
Dwight 1.1 .01337 .02058
Steamer .01342 .02073
OOPSY .01357 .02228
ZiPS .01373 .02235
ATC .01398 .02108
The BAT .01413 .02200
The BAT X .01424 .02177
Bar chart of batter wOBA projection error for Dwight 1.1 and peer systems
Batter wOBA MAE. Projected MAE, adjusted for league average and weighted by player PA.

Pitching

Pitcher loss projections are the best of any system. Wins sit just behind ZiPS—second in the field.

System W L
Dwight 1.1 .0848 .0775
ZiPS .0847 .0827
Steamer .0863 .0823
OOPSY .0864 .0960
ATC .0897 .0826
The BAT X .0896 .0869
The BAT .0907 .0872

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